面對疫情，澳洲樓價在2021年上升22% ，房地產平台（Domain）發佈 2020年 2月住宅空置率數據，空置率跌落歷史新低。上月（2月）澳洲政府重新開放國際邊境，允許完成接種新冠疫苗的簽證持有人免隔離入境，逐步重啟國際旅遊計劃。 究竟通關對樓價會有什麼影響？今次訪問居住在澳洲International Property Specialist主管Steve Park-Smith對澳洲通關後的睇法？
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Steve Park-Smith
International Property Specialist
Q：隨著學生、外籍人士、簽證持有者和其他旅行者再次開始進入澳洲，我們會看到對房地產價格有影響嗎？
Steve Park-Smith
是的，需求可能會增加。 這將在墨爾本、悉尼和布里斯班等主要首府城市感受到。 這將影響已經緊張的租賃市場，因為目前可用的空間太少，導致租金上漲。 此外，我們可能會看到那些靠近頂尖學校和大學的首府城市的地區出現飆升。
近期澳洲租金變化
Q：但現在澳洲重新通關，預計房地產市場會發生什麼？
Steve Park-Smith
國際邊境限制的放寬將帶來大量遊客、國際學生和工人的湧入，並使數以萬計的外籍澳大利亞人更容易返回家園。入境旅遊將對澳洲各地的房地產市場產生重大影響，墨爾本內城、珀斯以及墨爾本和悉尼的外圍將從更高的居住需求中受到最大的得益。至少，旅客的增加將吸引更多來自海外的房地產投資者，以及來澳工作人士對房地產的興趣，為解決澳洲勞動力短缺每年澳洲都會吸引大量海外勞工。
最近幾個月，學生簽證入境者的比例相對較高。因為學生入境時機與澳大利亞大學 2-3 月之間的入學時間相吻合。這將對租金產生影響，特別是靠近大學的地區。這批入境者的租務需求可能在首府城市的內城區和靠近學術中心的地方得到體現。
每年約有 45% 的海外移民定居分佈在相同的10 個地理區域內，這些地理區域主要位於墨爾本和悉尼。當邊境關閉時，這 10 個地區的租金價值急劇下降。然而，自 2021年初以來，這些地區的租金價值一直在回升。
英文原文：
Q : As students, ex-pats, visa holders, and travelers started to flood back to Australia, do you see this will impact property prices?
Steve Park-Smith
Yes, there is likely to be an increase in demand. This will be felt in the major capitals such as Melbourne, Sydney and Brisbane. This will impact the already tight rental market as there is so little available at present, leading to higher rents. In addition, we could see a spike in areas in those capital cities near top schools and universities.
Q: Now that borders are open to ex-pats and foreign buyers from across the globe, what do you think will happen to the Australian property market?
Steve Park-Smith
The relaxation of international border restrictions will bring with it an influx of tourists and international students and workers, and make it easier for tens of thousands of expatriate Australians to return home permanently. Incoming travel will have major implications on property markets around Australia, with inner-city Melbourne, Perth, and outer suburbs in Melbourne and Sydney poised to benefit the most from higher demand. At the very least, increased travel will generate more foreign property investment and greater interest in property from the imported workers needed to tackle the country’s workforce shortages.
There has been a relatively high portion of student visa entrants in recent months. That’s because student arrivals were prioritized to coincide with the February and March intake of Australian universities. That would have an impact on rentals, particularly in areas close to universities. Rental demand from this cohort of migrants is likely to be most concentrated across the inner-city precincts of the capital cities and within close proximity to academic hubs.
Around 45 percent of overseas migrants settle in the same 10 geographic regions in Australia each year, which are located across Melbourne and Sydney. Those 10 regions experienced sharp declines in rental values when borders were closed. However, a recovery in rental values has been underway in those regions since early 2021.
